PLTR Earnings Preview: Bullish Setup Into Key Report
Palantir reports earnings today with a bullish setup, strong macro tailwinds, and options pricing in a 10% move. Here’s my full breakdown.
Earnings Report – After the Bell
Palantir Technologies ($PLTR) is scheduled to report Q1 2025 earnings today after the market close. This report comes at a pivotal time, as global demand for defense and AI analytics is accelerating — and Palantir is sitting at the core of that transformation.
💡 Options Market: Implied move of ~10%, showing heavy interest and volatility expectations around the print.
💼 Analyst Expectations
| Metric | Estimate | Q1 2024 (YoY Comp) |
|---|---|---|
| EPS (adj.) | $0.08 | $0.05 |
| Revenue | $634M | $525M |
| YoY Growth | +20.7% | — |
📊 A revenue beat above $650M would likely confirm growing traction from U.S. and international government contracts.
🌎 Macro Context & Recent News
- 📈 Nationalism on the Rise: U.S. and global nations are reshoring operations and strengthening internal defense infrastructure.
- 🔐 Defense & Intelligence Demand: PLTR continues to expand its role with U.S. military, NATO allies, and domestic security arms.
- 🤖 AI Platform Expansion: The company has launched modular solutions for energy, pharma, aerospace, and logistics.
“Palantir is increasingly becoming the operating system for the modern nation-state.” — Bullish Investor Thesis
📈 Technical Analysis – Daily Chart
Palantir is at all time highs after a multi-week run-up, holding above its AVWAP from the Swing High. Buyers have defended higher lows, and volume shows signs of quiet accumulation. If earnings beat we can breakout above the all time highs and run towards the next level of resistance.
📌 Key Technical Zones:
- Support: $96.35 (AVWAP zone)
- Breakout Level: $124.86
- Target Range: $160.00
🔮 My Bullish Thesis
I’m personally bullish on PLTR heading into this report for several reasons:
- Technical strength with a clean chart setup above key AVWAPs
- Geopolitical tailwinds favoring defense and intelligence investments
- Nationalist economic trends accelerating the demand for domestic AI security solutions
- Consistent execution over the past 4 quarters with beats and strong guidance
If Palantir posts a revenue beat and guides confidently, this could spark a multi-day breakout, especially with 10%+ move potential priced in by options.
📌 Final Thoughts
This is a high-conviction setup that aligns both technicals and macro fundamentals. I’ll be watching the close and post-earnings price action closely. A confirmed breakout above $124.00 could fuel continuation into the $160.00 level.
Stay tuned for a post-earnings recap right here on the blog.
