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🚨 Traders Expect Big Move for Netflix Stock After Earnings—Here’s the Outlook

Netflix earnings could trigger an 8.5% stock swing, according to options traders. Here’s why analysts remain bullish and what price levels to watch.

🚨 Traders Expect Big Move for Netflix Stock After Earnings—Here’s the Outlook
Netflix is expected to report Q1 Earnings, and Traders Anticipate Big Moves to Profit

🎯 Netflix Earnings Set to Shake the Market

Netflix (NFLX) is scheduled to report Q1 earnings after the market closes Thursday, and options traders are pricing in a major move.

Based on options activity, traders expect Netflix stock to move around 8.5% in either direction. That implies a price swing between $893.47 and $1,059.09 — with volatility expected to spike next week due to market closures on Friday.



📊 Options Market Signals: 8.5% Implied Move

  • 🔁 Options pricing (April 16): Implies 8.5% post-earnings move
  • 📉 Recent history: NFLX stock has moved ~11% on average after earnings over the past 3 years
  • 💸 Cheap volatility: JPMorgan analysts say NFLX is one of the “cheapest” volatility plays heading into earnings

In fact, Netflix and Meta (META) are ranked as the most volatile post-earnings stocks among the top 60 S&P 500 companies.


📈 Netflix Momentum & Analyst Confidence

Netflix shares surged after the past two earnings reports:

  • 🔺 January: +10% after Q4 beat and $15B buyback boost
  • 🔺 October: +11% after stronger-than-expected ad-tier demand

On top of that, a new report this week revealed Netflix is aiming to double its revenue to $78 billion by 2030, pushing its market cap ambitions toward the $1 trillion club alongside Amazon and Alphabet.


🧠 What Analysts Are Saying

  • 🏦 Oppenheimer: Maintains Buy rating, $1,150 price target
  • 🛡️ Analysts believe Netflix is well-positioned to withstand macro headwinds, including tariffs or economic slowdown
  • 📊 Stock is +8% YTD, and +56% over the past 12 months

Expectations are high — but so is confidence.


💡 Key Takeaways for Traders

  1. Big move expected: 8.5% swing based on implied volatility
  2. Bullish history: Netflix has beat expectations the last two quarters
  3. Cheap volatility play: NFLX may offer high-reward setups for options traders
  4. Macro safety: Analysts say Netflix is less exposed to trade war fallout

🧭 If you're a trader, this could be one of the quarter's best earnings volatility plays.


🔗 Further Reading

View full article on Investopedia


📌 Final Thoughts

With implied volatility surging and momentum on its side, Netflix is one of the most exciting names this earnings season. Whether you’re trading options or long-term investing, Thursday’s report could be a game-changer.


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