🚨 Traders Expect Big Move for Netflix Stock After Earnings—Here’s the Outlook
Netflix earnings could trigger an 8.5% stock swing, according to options traders. Here’s why analysts remain bullish and what price levels to watch.

🎯 Netflix Earnings Set to Shake the Market
Netflix (NFLX) is scheduled to report Q1 earnings after the market closes Thursday, and options traders are pricing in a major move.
Based on options activity, traders expect Netflix stock to move around 8.5% in either direction. That implies a price swing between $893.47 and $1,059.09 — with volatility expected to spike next week due to market closures on Friday.
📊 Options Market Signals: 8.5% Implied Move
- 🔁 Options pricing (April 16): Implies 8.5% post-earnings move
- 📉 Recent history: NFLX stock has moved ~11% on average after earnings over the past 3 years
- 💸 Cheap volatility: JPMorgan analysts say NFLX is one of the “cheapest” volatility plays heading into earnings
In fact, Netflix and Meta (META) are ranked as the most volatile post-earnings stocks among the top 60 S&P 500 companies.
📈 Netflix Momentum & Analyst Confidence
Netflix shares surged after the past two earnings reports:
- 🔺 January: +10% after Q4 beat and $15B buyback boost
- 🔺 October: +11% after stronger-than-expected ad-tier demand
On top of that, a new report this week revealed Netflix is aiming to double its revenue to $78 billion by 2030, pushing its market cap ambitions toward the $1 trillion club alongside Amazon and Alphabet.
🧠 What Analysts Are Saying
- 🏦 Oppenheimer: Maintains Buy rating, $1,150 price target
- 🛡️ Analysts believe Netflix is well-positioned to withstand macro headwinds, including tariffs or economic slowdown
- 📊 Stock is +8% YTD, and +56% over the past 12 months
Expectations are high — but so is confidence.
💡 Key Takeaways for Traders
- Big move expected: 8.5% swing based on implied volatility
- Bullish history: Netflix has beat expectations the last two quarters
- Cheap volatility play: NFLX may offer high-reward setups for options traders
- Macro safety: Analysts say Netflix is less exposed to trade war fallout
🧭 If you're a trader, this could be one of the quarter's best earnings volatility plays.
🔗 Further Reading
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📌 Final Thoughts
With implied volatility surging and momentum on its side, Netflix is one of the most exciting names this earnings season. Whether you’re trading options or long-term investing, Thursday’s report could be a game-changer.